Saturday, October 30, 2004

The Countdown has Begun...

...until Election Day. Many voters have already voted, and polls at this point are really rather worthless. I have several to post, then I'll do page updates, and my final predictions will be posted this evening.

Firstly, I apologize. There was far too much partisan excitement in that Oklahoma post. Live with it.

This post, though, will be devoid of partisan content. Now then, on to the polls!

Zogby tracking results for 10/29:
  • Colorado: Salazar 50%, Coors 45%. Toss-up.
  • Florida: Martinez 46%, Castor 47%. Leaning Rep. takeover.
  • Wisconsin: Feingold 57%, Michels 37%. Safe Dem. retention.
  • Pennsylvania: Specter 57%, Hoeffel 28%. Safe Rep. retention.
  • Iowa: Grassley 70%, Small 24%. Safe Rep. retention.
  • Nevada: Reid 57%, Ziser 37%. Safe Dem. retention.
  • Ohio: Voinovich 59%, Fingerhut 32%. Safe Rep. retention.

  • UNH Tracking of New Hampshire: Gregg 63%, Haddock 22%. Safe Rep. retention.

  • In Louisiana, the Verne Kennedy tracking poll shows Vitter at 48%, John with 22%, and Kennedy with 13%. The standings for the Democratic challengers have been reversed, in the last tracking update, Kennedy was slightly leading John. Regardless, I still think Vitter will win without a run-off. Leaning Rep. takeover.

    Most of the other polls have been of un-competitive races:

  • In Georgia, a Zogby/Atlanta Journal-Constitution poll finds Isakson under 50% but still leading strongly, 49%-36%. Probably Rep. takeover.

  • In Illinois, a Research 2000 poll (as yet unreleased - RCP) shows the race holding steady at Obama 67%-Keyes 25%. Easy Dem. takeover.

  • In Connecticut, a Research 2000 poll shows incumbent Dodd leading 66%-27%. Safe Dem. retention.

  • Another New Hampshire poll, this one also from Research 2000 (RCP) shows Gregg ahead 68%-19%. Safe Rep. retention.

  • And, finally, a poll from Utah shows incumbent Bennett leading 61%-23%. Safe Rep. retention.

    That's all for now. Obligatory feedback link here.

    3:12 PM Update: All the pages are updated. I have some other stuff to do but should be wrapping up and posting my final predictions, as I said previously, tonight.
  • 1 Comments:

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    January 25, 2010 5:03 PM  

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